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第3回諸分野のための数学研究会 (北大数学COE協賛)
Seminar on Mathematics for various disciplines
Program
- 日 時:
- 2005年11月22日(火) 16:30-17:30
- 場 所:
- 東京大学大学院 数理科学研究科128号室
※会場へのアクセスは下記にてご確認下さい。
駒場アクセスマップ
http://www.u-tokyo.ac.jp/campusmap/map02_02_j.html
駒場キャンパス数理科学研究科棟
http://www.u-tokyo.ac.jp/campusmap/cam02_01_27_j.html
- プログラム:
- ハンス・ヘースターベーク教授 (ユトレヒト大学)
- Mathematics in the epidemiology and control of infectious diseases
- ABSTRACT:
- In this lecture I will give examples of the way in which mathematics helps in getting insight into the spread and control of infectious diseases. I will do this by discussing the population phenomena that are observed after an infectious agent enters a population (invasion, epidemic, recurrent epidemic, endemic, regulation, control). Along the way I will also give insight into the historical development of mathematical modelling in infectious disease epidemiology. Examples will be taken from human and animal infections. Special topics treated in some detail are threshold quantities such as the basic reproduction number R_0, the importance of understanding the structure of contacts in a population, the use of R_0 to estimate control effort with vaccines. In the last part of the lecture a number of important epidemiological problems will be discussed where input of new mathematical theory is needed.